Angel Oak Capital Advisors senior market strategist Frank Ros discusses the impact of geopolitical uncertainty on markets after Israel’s attack on Iran.
Investors flocked to safer assets, including gold and out of U.S. stocks, after Israel launched attacks against Iran’s nuclear sites.
All three of the major U.S. averages fell Friday, erasing weekly gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average off over 500 points or 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 lost 0.6% mid-afternoon.
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I:DJI | DOW JONES AVERAGES | 42353.18 | -614.44 | -1.43% |
| SP500 | S&P 500 | 6003.26 | -42.00 | -0.69% |
| I:COMP | NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX | 19530.242341 | -132.24 | -0.67% |
The strikes, which began late Thursday, drove oil prices up as much as 11% to the mid-$70 per barrel level, before halving those gains. ExxonMobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips rallied, while the United States Oil Fund ETF headed for its best percentage gain since April.
TEHRAN, IRAN – JUNE 13: A view of damaged vehicles in the Iranian capital, Tehran, following an attack. ((Photo by Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images))
OIL & ENERGY
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | EXXON MOBIL CORP. | 111.78 | +2.04 | +1.86% |
| CVX | CHEVRON CORP. | 145.38 | +0.41 | +0.29% |
| COP | CONOCOPHILLIPS | 96.11 | +1.43 | +1.50% |
“This will certainly do some damage to the inflation statistics if it doesn’t roll back soon,” wrote investor Louis Navellier in a note to clients. A report on consumer inflation or the CPI showed prices remain above the Fed’s 2% target level but still showed some relief.
RISING BOND YIELDS
Bond yields, which had been drifting lower, marched higher with the 10-year Treasury back above 4.4%, partly tied to renewed inflation concerns.
“This is a classic flight to safety and your seeing that in treasury yields” said Angel Oak Capital Advisors senior market strategist Frank Ros on ‘Mornings with Maria.’ “Today’s investors are concerned with tensions flaring up going into the future” he noted.
10-Year Treasury Yield (TradingEconomics )
GOLD HITS NEW RECORD
Gold hit a fresh record, trading as high as $3,500 an ounce, rallying for the third straight session. The SPDR Gold Trust exchange traded fund, the largest backed by physical gold, is headed for a weekly pop of 3%.
FED WATCH
The Federal Reserve is not expected to adjust interest rates at next week’s meeting or in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which tracks the probability of rate moves. There is a growing consensus that a rate cut could come in September.
TRUMP NAME CALLS FED CHAIR POWELL
President Trump has been publicly needling Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to cut rates by a full percentage point, calling him a “numskull” and “Mr. Too Late” for keeping rates at current levels as foreign counterparts, including the European Central Bank cut rates.
CRYPTOCURRENCY
Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market value, held at the $105,000 level and is sitting below its all-time high of $111,986.44.
